USF #50 BCS?

[Guest HowieP1]

That's what this said, but I didn't check the usual mock BCS web sites to verify:

It's a HUGE week!!! this week's games promise to have huge impacts on the season. if you're visiting us for the first time and like what you see, please feel free to register and join our forum. be sure to check out our weekly bcs watch and bowl projections as well.

-the number you see in front of each team is their current bcs ranking.

BCS SPOTLIGHT GAMES (all games on saturday):

-#15 LSU (3-1) AT #4 GEORGIA (3-0) (***BCS SPOTLIGHT GAME***). HUGE matchup in the sec this week. georgia is trying to get to the orange bowl. even with one loss, lsu feels they still have a shot. if lsu wins, they should be back in the bcs picture. if georgia wins, the orange bowl will remain well within their reach. this game doesn't need a whole lot more explanation than that. georgia has struggled in all three of their wins. lsu is by far the best team they have played so far this season. it is just as much a test for georgia as it is an opportunity.

-#14 PURDUE (3-0) AT #28 NOTRE DAME (3-1). this is a huge game for both teams. of paper, it is an in state rivalry with a lot of tradition. on paper, both teams have the bcs picture in their reach. after losing their opener, notre dame has been very impressive in their past three wins. purdue has also looked good all year. they struggled defensively last week, but offensively they were tremendous.

-#8 AUBURN (4-0) AT #7 TENNESSEE (3-0). (***BCS SPOTLIGHT GAME***). consider this a single elimination playoff game as far as the orange bowl is concerned. both teams are unbeaten. both are in the bcs hunt. the winner will control their own destiny as far as getting to the orange bowl, AND to the sec title game and the loser will not.

-#31 KANSAS STATE (2-1) AT #46 TEXAS A&M (2-1). (***COMPUTER SPOTLIGHT GAME***) this is one of the bigger games of the day that most people will probably overlook. why?? because they're not smart enough to read this board that's why. since losing to utah, texas a&m has righted their ship. their defense has been fantastic in their last two wins giving up only six total points. a win here really helps utah out and more importantly for the aggies it helps themselves out. this is a big game for kansas state as well. a win for them really helps fresno state out and more importantly for the wildcats it helps themselves out. this is the conference opener for both teams. they are jockeying for position in the standings, as well as in the bowl picture. kansas state still feels they can be a bcs team. i think it's safe to say that the winner of this game will have completely rebounded from their early season loss and be back on their feet and positioned to make a high caliber bowl.

OTHER GAMES:

WEDENSDAY, SEPTEMBER 29TH:

-#62 MIAMI, OH (2-2) AT #90 MARSHALL (0-3). the last time the redhawks visited marshall, one of their coaches left the field in handcuffs. this has become a very heated rivalry. with marshall leaving for cusa next year it will be the final edition...at least for now. marshall is 0-3, but they've played competitive games against ohio state and georgia who are both top ten teams. they could very easily be a major force in the mac conference. this is a big game because of the two bowl tie ins the mac has, they generally go to the two division champions. this is the conference opener for both teams, and regardless of what happened out of conference, they still need to win the division to get the bowl bid.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 30TH:

-#45 NAVY (4-0) AT #72 AIR FORCE (2-2). big game here as far as the commander and chief trophy goes, but it will also have an impact on the bowl picture. navy wins this game, they'll be just two wins away from becoming bowl eligible (one of their wins was against a 1aa team). air force's two losses have come to california and utah, which are two teams in the bcs hunt, so they are still a major contender for one of the mwc tie in bowls. this is one of many very intriguing games this weekend.

-#58 PITTSBURGH (2-1) AT #67 CONNECTICUT (3-1). this is an important conference game for two teams jockeying for position in the standings. with notre dame looking so good, one of the big east tie in bowls will most likely go to them. for connecticut, a bowl would be huge, as would a 4-1 start.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 1ST:

-#11 UTAH (4-0) AT #52 NEW MEXICO (2-2). this will not be an easy win for utah. new mexico is a very tough place to play, and with this being a conference game on national televison they have a lot to play for. utah must win out to get to the bcs. they lose and the best they can hope for is the liberty bowl. since this is a conference game, they will even be off to a slow start as far as that goes.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 2ND:

-#40 SOUTH CAROLINA (3-1) AT #48 ALABAMA (3-1). alabama is struggling without their starting quarterback. south carolina is having a fantastic year. their only loss was a close one to georgia. this is an important game for both teams as far as keeping pace in the standings go and working their way up the rankings. this is somewhat of a pivotal game for both these teams.

-#57 TCU (2-2) AT #116 ARMY (0-3). tcu desperately needs a conference win to keep them in the bowl picture. a loss here would be horrible.

-#99 SMU (1-3) VS #16 BOISE STATE (4-0). to say this is a mismatch would be an understatement. boise state is going to take a hit in the computers for this game and it will likely drop them in the bcs standings even if they win. obviously if they lose, they won't just drop, they will free fall and will be completely out of the bcs picture.

-(1aa) MASSACHUSETTS AT #43 BOSTON COLLEGE (3-1). boston college's only chance at the bcs would be to win the big east. they are coming off of a loss to wake forest. as far as bowls go, this will have very little impact, but bc is definitely a team in the bowl picture.

-#47 UAB (2-1) AT #59 CINCINNATI (2-2). these are two teams who are fighting for position to get themselves to a cusa tie in bowl. this is a pivotal game as far as that goes.

-#61 BYU (1-3) AT #79 COLORADO STATE (1-3). these are two teams that took their lumps out of conference, but all the losses came against high quality teams, and some of the games were VERY close. this is the conference opener for two teams that feel they are better than 1-3 (and probably are). a win would be the first step to an attainable goal, and that is getting to a mwc tie in bowl.

-#29 ARKANSAS (3-1) AT #21 FLORIDA (2-1). florida has actually done much better on the road in conference play than they have in the swamp over the past two seasons. despite the heartbreaking and controversial loss to tennessee, florida can still get themselves into the bcs picture. despite the heartbreaking loss to texas, arkansas can still get themselves to the bcs picture. this is a great opportunity for both teams who feel they can accomplish more than they are currently being projected to do.

-#66 NORTH CAROLINA (2-2) AT #10 FLORIDA STATE (2-1). florida state appears to have rebounded from their opening season loss to miami. they come home to face a north carolina team whose bowl chances are not good. a win keeps the noles on pace to get to either the bcs or a very high caliber non bcs bowl.

-#2 MIAMI, FL (3-0) AT #52 GEORGIA TECH (2-1). georgia tech was nationally ranked before stumbling all over themselves against north carolina. i don't know if they were looking ahead to the canes or not, but if they play like that again this one won't be close for long. miami, obviously, is well on pace for the orange bowl and when you're trying to get there you can't lose any of them. every time they go on the road they are going to play in hostile environments. this will be no exception.

-#19 MICHIGAN (3-1) AT #78 INDIANA (2-2). indiana won their first two games, including a surprising win over oregon, and seemed on pace to have a big year. they have dropped their last two and last week absolutely fell apart after having an early lead on michigan state. a win would put them back in the bowl picture, but it isn't likely to happen. why?? because michigan is trying to get themselves back into the bcs picture. they played what was by far their best game of the season last week. they appear to be focused and finally look like a bcs team.

-#64 MICHIGAN STATE (2-2) AT #38 IOWA (2-2). this is a desperation game for both teams. michigan state had to come back to beat indiana last week and they have really not looked impressive at any point this season. iowa has lost two straight games. if they want to get themselves in position to go to a high caliber bowl, they cannot afford a loss here.

-#105 OHIO UNIVERSITY (2-2) AT #70 KENTUCKY (1-2). with two sec teams on the verge of making the bcs, six wins can get kentucky to a bowl. all winnable games are big games for the cats. they cannot afford to lose this.

-#18 FRESNO STATE (3-0) AT #55 LOUISIANA TECH (2-2). louisiana tech has lost to tennessee and miami, fl in their last two games. prior to that they had looked impressive at home, but they weren't playing teams quite as good as fresno state. still, the 2-2 record is deceiving. fresno state must win this game or they will definitely not go to the bcs and the best they can hope for is a wac tie in bowl. for louisiana tech, their schedule is so strong that they are going to struggle to even become bowl eligible despite being a bowl caliber team. this would be a REALLY big win for them at home.

-#106 EAST CAROLINA (0-3) AT #23 LOUISVILLE (3-0). this is another mismatch. louisville has to be careful to not look ahead to their big game at miami, fl next week. they feel that if they win that one they will be in the bcs picture. the thing is that if they lose this game, they will be out of the bcs picture and have a conference loss on top of that. i expect the cardinals to dominate at home though.

-#84 HOUSTON (1-3) AT #39 MEMPHIS (3-1). memphis suffered a costly loss to uab last week that ended whatever small bcs hopes they had. they cannot afford to start off 0-2 in the conference and must get it done against houston. for houston, they already have a conference win against army. despite being 1-3, a 2-0 conference start will put them on track for going back to a bowl game this year. memphis is also trying to get back to a bowl, preferably the liberty bowl. however, if they lose this game the liberty may be out of reach.

-#68 PENN STATE (2-2) AT #17 MINNESOTA (4-0). penn state is coming off one of the most morale crushing weeks ever. their quarterback was injured, they lost to wisconsin, and their coach learned that his son-in-law was seriously injured in an auto accident. one can only imagine how distracting that must be for them. minnesota once again looked impressive last week and is trying to improve to 5-0 and keep themselves in the bcs picture. they do not play ohio state or purdue this season. all of their games are winnable games and the gophers are dreaming big.

-#22 COLORADO (3-0) AT #33 MISSOURI (2-1). colorado is 3-0 against three teams that went to bowls last season. the computers are ranking them much higher than the polls, but if they win this game and go to 4-0, surely the voters will start to notice. that will push them even further up the bcs standings. this is the conference opener for both teams and both are hoping to position themselves for high caliber bowls, so there is quite a bit on the line here.

-#72 KANSAS (2-2) AT #36 NEBRASKA (2-1). nebraska needs to get it rolling. the pollsters don't like them and the computers aren't treating them all that well either. they need to start winning, move themselves up the rankings, and get in position to get to a high quality bowl. a slipup at home against kansas will leave nebraska in a position they aren't used to being in, and that is on par to make a mid to low level big twelve tie in bowl. kansas won their first two games and appeared to be headed into a winnable game against northwestern. they lost that. last week, they were up 30-5 against texas tech and blew it in the second half. this is a team that is capable of playing well, and they have a lot to play for because they are trying to get to a bowl. nebraska cannot simply go through the motions and win this one.

-#49 WAKE FOREST (3-1) AT #30 NORTH CAROLINA STATE (2-1). big game here in what is a very competitive acc. wake forest's only loss was in overtime to clemson in their season opener. they appear to be a much better team than their ranking. nc state's only loss was to ohio state. these appear to be two teams who are on the brink of being in position to make a high caliber bowl. nc state is trying to remain unbeaten in conference play, and wake forest is trying to draw even and stay with the pack. this should be one of the many great games with high stakes this saturday.

-#102 AKRON (1-3) AT #44 NORTHERN ILLINOIS (2-2). northern illinois had a big win last week and appears to be in control of winning the division so long as they do not slip up. if they do that they should go to a bowl.

-#5 OHIO STATE (3-0) AT #72 NORTHWESTERN (1-3). ohio state is clearly in the bcs picture for the third straight season. assuming there is no letdown in this game, it will stay that way. this is the conference opener for the buckeyes and wins are important, especially since they do not play minnesota.

-#34 TEXAS TECH (3-1) AT #6 OKLAHOMA (3-0). this is probably the toughest opponent oklahoma has faced this season, and a win here should move them back up a spot or two in the bcs standings. texas tech's only loss was at new mexico. this is their fourth road game of the season. last week they came from way back to beat kansas, and they are going to need to play that way to even have a chance against oklahoma. a win for oklahoma keeps them squarely in the orange bowl picture. a win for texas tech would really move them up the bcs standings and put them in great shape early as far as the conference standings are concerned.

-#59 IOWA STATE (2-1) AT #25 OKLAHOMA STATE (3-0). this is the conference opener for both teams. oklahoma state is unbeaten, but the only team of note they've really beaten is ucla. a win here improves them to 4-0 and sets them up for a huge showdown next week against colorado. iowa state is trying to improve their bowl prospects, and a 3-1 start should put them in pretty good shape, especially if they can beat a team like oklahoma state on the road. both teams have a lot to play for in this one.

-#20 ARIZONA STATE (4-0) AT #80 OREGON (1-2). arizona state has been one of the more surprising teams this year. oregon has been surprising as well but for a different reason. a win for oregon would do wonders as far as righting their ship and getting them back on track to make a bowl. a win for arizona state improves them to 5-0 and will give them a tremendous opportunity to put themselves in the bcs hunt. after this the sun devels are off a week. after that they face usc. they couldn't have possibly scheduled a better off week.

-#13 CALIFORNIA (2-0) AT #51 OREGON STATE (1-3). california has looked very impressive in both of their wins. oregon state continues to play their gauntlet of a schedule. all three of their losses were road losses to top twenty bcs teams, and one of those teams is an underrated arizona state team. california may be in for a tougher road challenge than the beaver's record and ranking indicate. if they want to stay in the bcs picture, they need to win this game.

-#55 RICE (2-1) AT #114 SAN JOSE STATE (1-2). has two wins against div1a teams. they are coming off of a rather lopsided loss to texas, but that isn't that surprising. what is surprising is that they have the opportunity to improve to 3-1 and put themselves on pace for bowl eligibility. if the sec or the big twelve are not able to meet all of their bowl tie ins, the houston bowl would be VERY interested in the home town owls if they were to finish bowl eligible. rice has not been to a bowl since 1961. that's right. 1961. every winnable game is a big game and 3-1 would be an incredible start for them, and with other games against smu, tulsa and utep, six wins is not an impossibility.

-#26 SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI (2-0) AT #50 SOUTH FLORIDA (2-1). both teams won their conference openers. no one is talking about southern miss, but they did win at nebraska, went unbeaten in conference play last year, and actually have more control over their own destiny than any other non bcs team than possibly utah. they face california and alabama this year. they are VERY good, and if they win out they'll be in the bcs. south florida has a lot to play for as well. they won in o.t. last week against tcu and are trying to position themselves for a cusa tie in bowl. this is a very big game for both teams.

-#82 WASHINGTON (0-3) AT #37 STANFORD (2-1). stanford nearly upset usc last week, which would have been beyond huge. the one thing they took away from that game is that they proved they are capable of having a VERY big year. washington is 0-3. they have been anything but impressive in any of those games. this appears to be a game between two teams going in completely different directions.

-#35 RUTGERS (2-1) AT #54 SYRACUSE (2-2). the loss to 1aa new hampshire still stains the rutgers resume. they are still 2-1 and in position to get themselves to a bowl. this is as big a game as they have played this year. this is their conference opener, so a win gets them off to a good start as far as the standings go, improves them to 3-1 on the year, and puts them solidly in the bowl picture. for syracuse it is a big game as well. 3-2 keeps them in the bowl hunt and allows them to begin conference play with a win. there should be a sense of urgency for both of these teams. bowls are possible for both of them, but it is by no means guaranteed, especially with notre dame doing so well.

-#81 BAYLOR (2-1) AT #3 TEXAS (3-0). huge mismatch in the big twelve. it's the conference opener for both teams. texas shouldn't have too much trouble starting off 1-0. after this it gets a little harder. next week they face oklahoma.

-#61 SAN DIEGO STATE (2-1) AT #41 UCLA (2-1). both teams are trying to improve to 3-1. this is another one of those games that could really help utah out in their bcs quest if san diego state were to win it, not to mention pad their record and make them look more attractive to some of the mwc tie in bowls. ucla is trying to do the same thing.

-#9 WEST VIRGINIA (4-0) AT #41 VIRGINIA TECH (2-2). west virginia needs to win to keep their orange bowl hopes alive. if they lose this game or any other game i cannot see how it is at all possible that they would go. virginia tech is coming off an emotional and heartbreaking loss against nc state. they have lost to west virginia the past two years as the higher ranked team. now they find themselves as the underdogs in a highly important game for them on and off paper. west virginia is also playing for a little pride as far as the big east is concerned. virginia tech is trying to win against a big rival, but they are also trying to keep themselves on the radar.

-#85 ILLINOIS (2-2) AT #24 WISCONSIN (4-0). this is a big game for wisconsin. they can remain unbeaten, improve to 2-0 in the conference, and keep their hopes of going to the bcs a reality. they have ohio state next week. they CANNOT be looking ahead. this is an illinois team that stepped up on a very good purdue team and if wisconsin is thinking too far into the future, illinois could sneak up on them.

http://www.basketballboards.net/forum/showthread.php?s=&postid=1542898#post1542898

[Guest HowieP1]

This BCS site says USF is currently #43 (I Think).

http://www.geocities.com/rtell/bcsc.html

[Guest HowieP1]

It looks like two of the BCS computer sites haven't released their rankings yet.

http://www.geocities.com/rtell/CP.html

One of them P Wolfe doesn't release them until Oct 18th:

http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~prwolfe/cfootball/home.htm

I'm not sure when Anderson releases his:

http://www.andersonsports.com/football/ACF_frnk.html

This year they aren't using the New York Times computer in the BCS standings. I remember reading something about the NYT dropping out as they felt they had a conflict of interest because they cover the teams in their paper.

So, based on the four BCS computers which have released their rankings it looks to me like we are #43 at the moment.

[Papa_Bull]

Tellshow's current BCS Standings

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New Big East teams:

WVU #10

Louisville #22

USF #43

Syracuse #55

Cincy #60

UConn #67

Pitt #69

Rutgers #80

[Guest HowieP1]

Because USM is #26 in the BCS rankings, a win over them will place us somewhere around #30.

Wes Colley, for example, presently has USM #20 and USF #47. If USF beats USM, then he projects USF #28 and USM #42.

http://www.colleyrankings.com/scgi-bin/playgod.cgi

[Markeymark]

USF is #63 in the Massey ratings, which are an average of 52 different ranking sytems that are out there.

http://www.mratings.com/cf/compare.htm

[bulls96go]

hope we end in top 20 bcs this year. dreaming