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Willie the Magnificent Play Caller


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Am I the only one that has a near meltdown when we run the ball on 3rd and 7 from the opponents 20 yard line?

 

Lets look at the details:

 

  1. You're playing @ Memphis
  2. Memphis is averaging over 34 points per game (YOU KNOW YOU'RE GOING TO HAVE TO SCORE A GOOD AMOUNT OF POINTS TO GIVE YOURSELF A CHANCE TO WIN)
  3. I can't find a legit site that breaks down the % or odds of getting a first down on 3rd and 7 with a run vs. pass, but I'm willing to bet big that it's passing.

I know I am nitpicking one play, but this seems to happen all the time (running on 3rd and medium - long). What is Taggart thinking with this? Is he deathly afraid of an interception in the red zone? Does he think no matter what he's just better off having the ball in Mack or Johnson's hands? Give yourself a chance dude. You're not beating Memphis on the road by putting up a few field goals when you actually make it to the red zone with our defense. Maybe it's not Taggart that called that play and if that's the case then the same issue with Wulff or whoever did. I understand our passing offense and QB play is bad, but you're not giving this team its best chance to win if you're settling for FGs against an offense that good on the road with a bad defense. Just doesn't make sense to me. 

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The play calling has been questionable, no doubt.

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Think he's playing for field goals in case things go wrong and hoping the backs bust one. Which amazingly is what he should have done when Flowers had to go in because White got hurt instead of the reverse.

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I love the title of the thread- its absolutely perfect.---- for losers.  The title would imply that he was a magician, well after giving it some thought, he is making fans disappear.

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Am I the only one that has a near meltdown when we run the ball on 3rd and 7 from the opponents 20 yard line?

 

Lets look at the details:

 

  1. You're playing @ Memphis
  2. Memphis is averaging over 34 points per game (YOU KNOW YOU'RE GOING TO HAVE TO SCORE A GOOD AMOUNT OF POINTS TO GIVE YOURSELF A CHANCE TO WIN)
  3. I can't find a legit site that breaks down the % or odds of getting a first down on 3rd and 7 with a run vs. pass, but I'm willing to bet big that it's passing.

I know I am nitpicking one play, but this seems to happen all the time (running on 3rd and medium - long). What is Taggart thinking with this? Is he deathly afraid of an interception in the red zone? Does he think no matter what he's just better off having the ball in Mack or Johnson's hands? Give yourself a chance dude. You're not beating Memphis on the road by putting up a few field goals when you actually make it to the red zone with our defense. Maybe it's not Taggart that called that play and if that's the case then the same issue with Wulff or whoever did. I understand our passing offense and QB play is bad, but you're not giving this team its best chance to win if you're settling for FGs against an offense that good on the road with a bad defense. Just doesn't make sense to me. 

1st and 2nd down are the key, just think about how many 3rd and >7+ yards we always seem to have......the % of converting those on 3rd down are very low.

 

 

 

Conversion rates When you examine the success rate of converting second and third downs (NFL) over the past three years, you can see why getting 4-plus yards on first down is the key: Down/distance Success Pct. Second-and-1-5 yards 56 Second-and-6-9 yards 27 Second-and-10-plus 17 Third-and-1 67 Third-and-2 52 Third-and-3 49 Third-and-4 47 Third-and-5 42 Third-and-6 41 Third-and-7 37 Third-and-8 32 Third-and-9 32 Third-and-10 or more 20
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It's the classic chess match that coaches play. I know you that you know than I know what you think you know what I'm gonna call, so I'm gonna run it on 3rd and 7. 

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It's the classic chess match that coaches play. I know you that you know than I know what you think you know what I'm gonna call, so I'm gonna run it on 3rd and 7. 

 

Willie is playing blindfolded and the other coach is Deep Blue.

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My least favorite call of the whole game.

I stopped watching after the fumble on the 5.

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success rate numbers are going to be skewed because 95% of teams on 3rd and 7+ are passing the ball. Unless maybe you are Wisconsin or Navy or you are 3rd and a mile and running a draw or something.

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