Did the gator bowl become much more probable?

Your going to see Iowa picked over a second Big East. Book it, they'll come in droves, always do

Iowa will be lucky to be ranked in top 25 after getting waxed by OSU.  I don't see them as a threat.  They fell like a rock in polls after losing to NW.

[Orange picks first and chooses a 10-2 USF]

Orange picks first and chooses a 10-2 USF

I love your optimism, but there isn't a chance in hell that we will wind up in a bcs bowl this year. If the BE does get a second team in it will be Pitt.

Pitt is already in the top ten in the human polls. If they win until they get to cinci then they will have been in the top ten for four or five weeks. This will have proved thier worth of a BCS spot.

There is no way that we can make it from #24 in the nation to a BCS bowl with four games left. The only ranked team we have left on the schedule is UM, which means if we make it into the top 15 it will not be until the final week or two of regular season. You can't just show up in the top 15 the last couple of weeks and expect to be put in a BCS game it doesn't work that way.

Best case for us:
1- USF wins out and finishes 5-2 in conference, 10-2 overall (longshot)
2- ND finished 7-5 or 6-6 (possible)
3. Pitt and Cincinnati each win out until December 5, so the winner of that game finishes 7-0 in conference and loser at 6-1.
4. Winner of Pitt/UC goes to BCS and Gator takes USF as ND is more than 2 games out and hopes that we bring more fans than Pitt/UC.

Not very likely.

I agree, even with no Iowa, you still have Penn State. USF would send fans, but those guys would send 30,000 or so.

I just don't see anyone from the Big East getting a second bid unless it's WVU. We just aren't guarenteed to bring the numbers the bowls want.

I disagree with sanjay on usf's best case. Here's an even better scenario for us, even if it is much less likely to happen.

1. nd loses to both uconn and pitt, finishes 7-5 or worse, not eligible for gator bowl

2. cincy wins out with lots of style points, tx loses to k-state (go grant!), fl loses to bama, cincy vs. bama for n.c. title game

3. pitt struggles but wins out, exept for the cincy game. drops to #15 or so (at least a few slots behind us), goes to gator

4. usf wins out, with good style points, blows out miami, gets to about #12, plays gators in sugar, wins on last second field goal because the schwartz is with us.

Go Bulls!

Gator is best bet for USF, and that is somewhat of a long shot, even at 10-2.  We might be chosen at 10-2 over a 10-2 Pitt/UC due to the number of fans, but they both may end up 11-1 or better.

Nybulls, mine was best case.  Yours is smoking illegal substances.

I agree, it is not likely USF goes to the BCS, but it is not impossible.  Any team finishing in the top 14 is eligible and we could climb back up there with a win versus Miami.  Miami is #14 right now and might very will be 9-2 going into our game and likely somewhere between #10 and #14.

As for Pitt, if they win out and only lose to Cincy then they won't drop hard.  Pitt is #12 now and will be #11 or better next week if they beat ND because one of Ohio State and Iowa will lose.  They then play WVU and could move into the top 10 or so depending on what happens. 

But Pitt is ranked #9 in both the Harris and the Coaches.  Wins versus ND and WVU will strengthen their computer standing and help them gain some ground. 

The best bet for two BCS teams might be if Pitt beats Cincinnati and both end up at 11-1.  Pitt would get the auto bid and Cincy might get another. 

But even if that doesn't happen, a 10-2 USF might go to the Gator ahead of Pitt mainly because of our draw.  If Notre Dame is out then I could see the Gator Bowl Committee opting for us over Pitt, leaving Pitt to the Muffler Bowl, WVU to Papa Johns, Rutgers and UConn to the Int'l and St. Pete Bowls.

But I'd prefer two BCS bids so we can play five BCS opponents in bowls.

 

not to mention the payout from 2 bcs games

hey sanjay, it's not illegal if u don't get caught. LOL

not to mention the payout from 2 bcs games

hey sanjay, it's not illegal if u don't get caught. LOL

As much as i'd like to see USF get into the BCS, its a long shot right now.

Lets do this math...WE HAVE TO BEAT RUTGERS on a THURSDAY NIGHT in PISCATAWAY!!!

then...WE HAVE TO BEAT UMIAMI...nuff said?

then...WE HAVE TO BEAT UCONN in STORRS, CONNECTICUT in the COLD!!! BRRRR!!!




Lets let this math happen for us...then, the rest is OUT OF OUR HANDS!!!

GO BULLS!!!